That's all fascinating. I'm glad to work with my hands, because robotics have not yet duplicated the dexterity of the human hand. But it's coming. And when that happens, your statistic will apply to blue collar jobs as well.
Exactly. The same will hit manual labor jobs. Just a few years later.
There will be some manual labor jobs that last a bit longer than a few years. Mainly the ones that have very unique scenario's that are hard to replicate data/automation for well. Like welding in weird positions aka underwater or through some rocks. Plumbing and fixes. These survive longer just because its hard to get a repetitive data point that replicates that exact scenario. Prolongs the inevitable but doesn't save you.
I'm not too concerned about post 2032 which is when most of blue collar jobs get hit mainly because by then it won't matter.
What I call the "Golden cage", gets raised in 2032, majority of the easy fruit to make money will be gone. 2032 ASI is showing full integration by governments. It's a double edge sword of utopia/dystopia. At that point UBI or Elon Musk's UHI (universal high income) becomes a necessity and likely on-chain of some sort. People won't have the ability to make money, and company by company and industry by industry will get assimilated into one. So even if you have money, there's no way to make more of it because all the companies get bought up, and all the middle men get removed. Countries within 100 years likely will be assimilated and merged into one.
Programs to track who needs what, and who gets what. You'll have everything you need but you'll have to pay extra for everything you want. Eventually, there will be an abundance of everything you need, but it will be heavily regulated and tracked. Like healthcare will track all your movement, etc. If you don't complete the minimums than perhaps your on-chain funds only purchase X amount of food or your food selections get limited to address you not staying on program, as that's the optimal way of dealing with it.
Money becomes irrelevant at this point as every has the same level of income, and the few rich survivors do get richer get they quickly get assimilated one by one. Essentially becomes a hive mind.
Most people are oblivious to this and don't understand AI acceleration. we're moving at 30 years digitally to 1 equivalent human year. By 2032 we'll be moving 300+ years digitally in a single year, that will make it's way into the physical world as well and catch up very quickly. So imagine things to get weird and get weird fast.
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So it's not a matter of working with your hands. The only that really matters short term is energy/compute and indefinitely is creativity or what I call "creative novelty". I write about it here in
https://raya.ai/whitepaper . Since energy/compute is only a short term solution as that eventually gets assimilated and is also extremely expensive, the focus should be on developing and scaling creativity. Specifically, creative novelty, data outside of the bounds of AI's computational limits. It's already doing art better than artists, design better than designers, but if you are able to create something truly outside of the limits of what society has seen before, this is the only type of data after next year that AI can really use to self optimize. So if you have this ability, you're a billionaire.
The real currency of the future is not money, it's creativity. Also, if you don't want to be trapped in the golden cage, I would recommending you get off grid and become self sustainable. That's my plan. If you're in the grid/society post 2032 ish and you don't have a means to leave, it will be extremely difficult. Not necessarily due to physical restrictions, but you just won't control resources to allow yourself to detach from it. You will become completely reliant on it.
Raya.ai, the product i'm building is specifically for the group that wants to detach from the grid. Labeling them sovereigns as they're people who want sovereignty. I think it's also a strong philosophy that has been entrenched here in SS. Basically taking control of not only your relationships, but every aspect of your life back into your own hands. It's very anti EU and china philosphy where the state kind of controls everything but as an american, I believe a large group will be for this.