Is not so much odds are stacked, it's largely that the dating applications are stupid
Do you have any thoughts on Caleb Jones' 5 Phases of Effectiveness Theory for online dating theory?
...it is obvious Sartain and Rollo have become hustlers at this point. Everyone on YT is an attention monger, trying to sell something, or both. It's incomprehensible to me that so many folks remain unaware of this fact of life in '25
www.sosuave.net
Phase One: Early Adopters
Phase Two: Hyper-effectiveness
Phase Three: Normal
Phase Four: Difficult
Phase Five: Niched
According to this theory, Caleb would likely say that the app environment right now is ripe for disruption since Tinder, Bumble, and Hinge are all in Phase 4 and 5.
Caleb claimed that Match had a hyper effective period in the early 2000s when beta males were able to get laid off of it with relative ease. I was in college when Match was in its hyper effective period, so I never got to experience that. College students in the early to mid 2000s weren't using tech to dates because they had the resources of a college campus. If a college student was using Match in 2003, that was a sign of something in their game being off.
Tinder launched in Sept 2012 and went through Phases 1-4 much faster than Match did. I was on Tinder in 2013 likely in its hyper-effective period. I found it easier to get dates but I was having a "one date, no sex, no second date" issue on Tinder in 2013.
Based on my experience, I think Caleb overstates the hyper-effective period.
Dating apps low probability of success. There is nothing to go off of except appearance. In person can see how you talk, act, etc. and this can have slight influence on her perception of you. You mus also place yourself in her shoes: say you are typical young, attractive female who is used to having admirers --- Why bother with app? Just for safety reason alone going to be hesitant to agree to meet up with strangers in random places, you don't know who these guys are and if they will harm you. The preferred way is of course going to be through friends as her friends can speak on the guys behalf etc. or environment like University or something.
There's nothing efficient about dating apps, even in a "hyper-effective" period, which might have been Tinder in 2013 or Bumble in 2015-2016.
Other options are better options.