First, thanks for the invite Gaucho, I'll PM you as big fights come up, then we'll talk in emails. Up until this Oscar bout, I was on a ridiculous hot streak, when it lasts too long you forget you can still lose on any given night. This was the first losing weekend I've had in about 2 months, and it wiped out about 4 months worth of profits. lol. I know a sharp who put nearly his life savings on Oscar, now he's up the creek. You're absolutely right about money management Gaucho, this was my downfall.
After sobering up and recovering from the shock, I don't regret the bet at all. I regret the size of the bet, but this shouldn't have been a close contest. People talk about speed vs size, athleticism, etc., but if the same DLH that came to fight Mayweather showed up against Pac, it would have been a blowout win. I've analyzed this bout on many forums forums so there's no sense it doing it again, the bottom line is Manny struggled against a counter-puncher with a timely jab at 130lbs. In fact, I had him losing both Marquez fights, and comfortably to boot. Oscar is a superior technician to Pac, he SHOULD HAVE been a strong-chinned, tall tactician with a long jab and great counter left hook, with a 12lb size advantage. This SHOULD HAVE been a blowout win for Oscar, only those absolutely closest to him knew that he was dehydrated/over-trained/shot. There's no way I could have known that. I wish I knew and had consulted a nutritionist, they probably could have explained Oscar's weight situation, and how it would affect him. I hear reports that he lost the weight far too early in camp, so his body couldn't handle putting it back on so quickly. Compare that to a Margarito who makes weight the day of the fight, then comfortably rehydrates 14lbs and has 12 rounds of energy in him.
Steve Forbes was a defensively slick counter-puncher with an iron chin, the kind Oscar gets frustrated with. If that Oscar showed up to fight Pac, he'd still win convincingly.
I'm letting myself off the hook for the bet, not the size of the bet. I fvcked that up hard. When I heard Oscar was 147, and I saw him walking to the ring sucking on ice and looking dead serious, I should have known something was wrong. How foolish of me.
Oscar was flat the way Forrest was flat against Mora, and the way Williams was flat against Quintana. It happens. Forrest proved he isn't shot in the rematch, it was just a bad night. I still think DLH is a bad stylistic match-up for Pac, and if he came to the ring in the high 150's like he should have, he'd have a big size and power advantage, and wouldn't have been bullied to that extent.
I almost don't want to see Pac-JMM 3. If it happened, it would be at a higher weight than Marquez is comfortable with, he can still make 130. Pac would probably force 140lbs. It would be tragic to see JMM lose at 140lbs then be written off as another Mexican fighter Pac dominated, even though JMM won the first 2 fights. History would show Pac as being superior, when if you watch the two bouts, he's anything but. JMM's entire career has been somewhat tragic and disappointing, I'd hate to see him going out on a losing note.
I've heard rumours of Pac-Floyd. If Floyd takes this, it's not a money grab, his work ethic is almost unmatched in the sport. If it's at 147 lbs I have a late KO win for Mayweather. If it's at 140 it's more debatable. Pac showed signs of improved defense and head movement against DLH, but fighting an immobile shell is different from a P4P great in his prime. It would be close through 6, maybe even Pac ahead, but Mayweather would figure him out and pull away like he always does. .