More Men, More Crime

[Deep Dish]

More Men, More Crime: Evidence from China’s One-Child Policy

“Crime rates almost doubled in China between 1992 and 2004. Over the same period, sex ratios (males to females) in the crime-prone ages of 16-25 years rose sharply, from 1.053 to 1.093. Although scarcity of females is commonly believed to be a source of male antisocial behavior, a causal link has been difficult to establish. Sex-ratio variation is typically either small or related to social conditions liable to also affect crime rates. This paper exploits two unique features of the Chinese experience: the change in the sex ratio was both large and mainly in response to the implementation of the one-child policy. Using annual province-level data covering the years 1988-2004, we find that a 0.01 increase in the sex ratio raised the violent and property crime rates by some 5-6%, suggesting that the increasing maleness of the young adult population may account for as much as a third of the overall rise in crime.”​

http://d-nb.info/987548689/34

The paper suggests that the increase in crime is related to guys being unable to get married. Paradoxically, sex-related crimes in China was not correlated with the sex ratio, but possibly because there is more prostitution.

 

[Asmodeus]

Psychological studies often have a strong confirmation bias.
But this is a ridiculous conclusion... Correlation does not equal causality. In fact, when ice cream sales are highest, shark attacks increase. But eating ice cream is not going to increase your chance of getting attacked by a shark? No... It is because ice cream is sold in the summer, and more people are in the beach swimming during the summer.

 

[Bible_Belt]

Males age 18-24 are responsible for a very large portion of all crimes committed. That's been known for a long time.

 

[user43770]

It's been proven that single men, on average, die at a younger age than their married counterparts. We're more willing to take risks.

Men with families will generally do whatever is necessary to provide for them. It's in our nature. You can't well provide for your family if you're in jail.

 

[user43770]

On that note, I'll have another drink and try to get a morally casual woman over to the house.

 

[Who Dares Win]

Stats dont lie, military aged males are the biggest instability factor to a society in terms of crime, revolution and overall threat to the status quo.

Thats why western governments are happy to have an aged population where young males are caged in rules and social pressure, the only time they need young males is when its either needed to fight a war or to create social instability and enforce tyrannical laws.

Kinda remind me why they are bringing military aged third worlders in Europe right now, not sure if they need them for war against Russia as cannon fodder or simply to scare the europeans into accepting the removal of their rights.

Of course add to the mix unavailability of femals and lack of opportunities.

 

[speed dawg]

Regardless of what we may think, women do serve a purpose. It's always funny to me to see guys who have given up on anything except 'getting what's theirs' and really have no regard for anyone or anything else. Sort of like the guys here who are all-in for the p*ssy and nothing else - no kids, no family, no religion. That is fine, I just hope they realize that their somewhat 'civilized' player life cannot exist without an established society that was based on family, religion and morals, which was then somewhat corrupted by selfish desires. It's just like Bernie Sanders' socialistic philosophy - it can't exist without established corporations to 'pay' for all the stuff he wants to do. When the establishment folds, so does everything else. Third world time.

Young males with no guidance are 2 steps above animals. You can see that in any ghetto in America right now. They simply take what they want, and respond to nothing but FEAR.

 

[Deep Dish]

Asmodeus
Psychological studies often have a strong confirmation bias. But this is a ridiculous conclusion... Correlation does not equal causality. In fact, when ice cream sales are highest, shark attacks increase. But eating ice cream is not going to increase your chance of getting attacked by a shark? No... It is because ice cream is sold in the summer, and more people are in the beach swimming during the summer.​

The finding that sex-related crimes, which includes not only rape but abduction of girls for prostitution, was not correlated with the sex ratio, is interesting because it jives with Briffault’s Law.

Briffault’s Law:

• Past benefit provided by the male does not provide for continued or future association.
• Any agreement where the male provides a current benefit in return for a promise of future association is null and void as soon as the male has provided the benefit (see corollary 1)
• A promise of future benefit has limited influence on current/future association, with the influence inversely proportionate to the length of time until the benefit will be given and directly proportionate to the degree to which the female trusts the male (which is not bloody likely).

Women are opportunists. When you have too many men, women may see more opportunity to turn towards hooking (willingly, rather than being abducted) rather than being a loving wife. The paper is speculative, it was a discussion paper rather than peer-reviewed, and simply adds more evidence rather than being conclusive.