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Kentucky Derby Wagering

backbreaker

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Usually every year I come here and I toute a horse that should be a pretty good bet in the derby since I follow this **** year round. You might end up at a derby party or whatever you never know ti's the biggest horse race of the year.

There's not even a need to wait til the derby this year.


Go to the bank, take out all your money, find the nearest horse track, find what number american pharoah is in the derby lol, put said money on american Pharaoh, grab a beer and wait for the race to be over to collect your winnings.


I love the derby most becuase there are so many stupid people betting so horses that should be 3-5 are like 4 to 1 because everyone wants to bet long shots and cool names and ****.

Simply put, American Pharoah is the best 3YO kentucky derby prospect i've ever seen and it's not even really close. Okay, Big Brown was really good, but this one is better. He's faster, he's better bred, he's more sound, he has a better trainer and a better jockey.


I've seen 4 races that he's won by probably a combined 35 lengths and he's not been hit yet. He just won a million dollar race basically jogging and won by 15 lengths.


There are gonna be some people that say "oh but he hasn't faced anyone yet, oh what happens when he gets dirt in his face, oh what happens when he doesn't get to lead" these people are idiots lol. Just wager and collect your money.


He could very well win the triple crown. I would go so far to pretty much guarantee it barring injury he's that good.


There is a South African horse coming to race in the derby that's legit as **** and if AP runs his B game could give him a run, but he won't run his B game in the derby.
 

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SAYNO

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backbreaker said:
Usually every year I come here and I toute a horse that should be a pretty good bet in the derby since I follow this **** year round. You might end up at a derby party or whatever you never know ti's the biggest horse race of the year.

There's not even a need to wait til the derby this year.


Go to the bank, take out all your money, find the nearest horse track, find what number american pharoah is in the derby lol, put said money on american Pharaoh, grab a beer and wait for the race to be over to collect your winnings.


I love the derby most becuase there are so many stupid people betting so horses that should be 3-5 are like 4 to 1 because everyone wants to bet long shots and cool names and ****.

Simply put, American Pharoah is the best 3YO kentucky derby prospect i've ever seen and it's not even really close. Okay, Big Brown was really good, but this one is better. He's faster, he's better bred, he's more sound, he has a better trainer and a better jockey.


I've seen 4 races that he's won by probably a combined 35 lengths and he's not been hit yet. He just won a million dollar race basically jogging and won by 15 lengths.


There are gonna be some people that say "oh but he hasn't faced anyone yet, oh what happens when he gets dirt in his face, oh what happens when he doesn't get to lead" these people are idiots lol. Just wager and collect your money.


He could very well win the triple crown. I would go so far to pretty much guarantee it barring injury he's that good.


There is a South African horse coming to race in the derby that's legit as **** and if AP runs his B game could give him a run, but he won't run his B game in the derby.
You know any good bookies in texas?
 

SAYNO

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backbreaker said:
Hope u cashed. Tried to tell u
Well so far you haven't told ME sh!t!!!:confused:
 

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Stagger Lee

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So the horse you picked won the Derby? Hmm, that's impressive. Although I remember a few years ago you said to bet a certain way and it was a loser. I didn't want to take the chance this time. And I think it was before 2012. Since then I didn't follow any advice.
 
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backbreaker

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you try way too hard lol. you mean the year i gave you the trifecta lol


2012
http://www.sosuave.net/forum/showthread.php?t=194041

never mind that i told you it was a 5 horse race and 4 of the 5 horses ended up int he top 5. even more than that only 1 of them was under 10 to 1. don't even mind that i told you bodemeister was the most talented horse in the race and he ran the fastest frational splits in the history of the kentucky derby and still lost in what is considered to be the best effort by a losing horse in decades, at least since slew in the 79 gold cup

don't even mind that i told you 2 of the top 3 betting choices wouldn't run a step and i was right (union rags, take charge indy)

i didn't win but to say that i didn't call the race dead on you are showing your ass. i even told you why i didn't take i'll have another, i couldn't stomach the 19 post but he did it anyway. the logic was sound the race horse was just better than the logic.

just like picking up women, even the best handicappers only win about 30 at most 40 percent of the races that they wager. but like gaming women, if you have solid game you will get yours.

go back to trolling the main forum

hell i didn't even tell you not to pick i'll have another. i told you that if you wanted to take a chance he was the best option to make some real money and he won. it's like you didn't even bother to read the post.

truth be told i didn't give myself enough credit. i had this race nailed dead to rights. i knew the florida horses weren't worth ****. i knew hansen would act an ass and he did taking away any real chance he had. the only thing i didn't do is i gave gemologist too much credit and i didn't think dullahan would handle the dirt and he did. otherwise i would have given you the top 5 finishers in the race out of 5 horses.

watching too horse racing TV listening to too many people i started questioning **** i should not have been questioning.

2013

http://www.sosuave.net/forum/showthread.php?t=204644

if orb goes off at anything close to his current odds, i'm scraping everything and going in with him. he's too good to go off at 7 to 1 in this race i don't care about hte track condition. i could not fathom him going off at higher than 7/2 or 4 to 1 in this race after winning ihs last 2 races but 7 to 1 is a gift

2014

http://www.sosuave.net/forum/showthread.php?t=213897

California Chrome is gonna win this race. Pretty Easily at that.
**** not only did I give you the derby winner, I gave you the breeders cup classic winner later in the year lol

California Chrome is gonna win the preakness today, but Bayern is going to make him fight for it and it's gonna be a lot closer than a 2/5 should win a race by. Bayern is legit.

and this year

Usually every year I come here and I toute a horse that should be a pretty good bet in the derby since I follow this **** year round. You might end up at a derby party or whatever you never know ti's the biggest horse race of the year.

There's not even a need to wait til the derby this year.


Go to the bank, take out all your money, find the nearest horse track, find what number american pharoah is in the derby lol, put said money on american Pharaoh, grab a beer and wait for the race to be over to collect your winnings.


I love the derby most becuase there are so many stupid people betting so horses that should be 3-5 are like 4 to 1 because everyone wants to bet long shots and cool names and ****.

Simply put, American Pharoah is the best 3YO kentucky derby prospect i've ever seen and it's not even really close. Okay, Big Brown was really good, but this one is better. He's faster, he's better bred, he's more sound, he has a better trainer and a better jockey.


I've seen 4 races that he's won by probably a combined 35 lengths and he's not been hit yet. He just won a million dollar race basically jogging and won by 15 lengths.


There are gonna be some people that say "oh but he hasn't faced anyone yet, oh what happens when he gets dirt in his face, oh what happens when he doesn't get to lead" these people are idiots lol. Just wager and collect your money.


He could very well win the triple crown. I would go so far to pretty much guarantee it barring injury he's that good.

this is what I do and I'm ****ing good at it. Am I right 10000% of the time no i'm not but but i make money and you could have made money today. i just offer picks on races becuase i know people follow "the big race" and want them to know what they are talking about
 

donking

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Keep up the good work backbreaker. I'll be back next year.
 

backbreaker

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i bet quite a bit on him today and did good. i'm gonna parlay it to the preakness. all the good horses will skip ad he will make short work of the preakness field. he won't pay anything but like 3/5 or something like that but still i'll make money. then i'll pull out for the belmont as i'm not as confident he can get that distance plus there are a lot of horses where belmont is their home track and he's not one of them
 

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You made your case like a lawyer. Stable job. Good guy. Ready for something real. All true. All irrelevant.

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Logic is where attraction goes to die. The "22 Rules" work a level deeper, on the subconscious switches that decide within minutes whether you register as a MAN or as part of the furniture.

Stop presenting evidence. Start flipping switches.

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