Deep Dish Dials For Telephone Telepathy

[Super_geek]

I appreciate the info, Deep Dish. When I get a chance I'll see if I can get a hold of Ms. Standish, and see if she wishes to apply.

If she does apply it will be interesting to see if the Paranormal Challenge folks who stand to lose $1M reject the results because not everyone was an effective "receiver," even though such results are consistent with the hypothesis that only some people are "tuned in."

The hypothesis "only Some people are tuned in" is very vague.

If it is actually scientific (which it will have to be), then there will be many very explicit hypothesis that go a little like this:

H1: 100% are "tuned in", H2: 90% are "tuned in", H3: 80% are "tuned in".........H11: 0% are "tuned in". H11 basically says that no one is telepathic.

The data acquired from the experiment too will be just as exact: the percentage of people who demonstrated an apparent telepathic transfer of information.

To conclude the Hypothesis that has the highest probability of being true, Bayes theorem will be used, and the hypothesis with the maximum likelihood will be taken as the result:

P(Hi|D)=P(Hi)*P(D|Hi)/ [Sum from i=0 to 11 {P(Hi)*P(D|Hi)}]

The conditional probability of H11 given data will be the probability that the number of observed apparent telepathic transmissions of information could have been due to mere chance.

The conditional probability of all others will be the probability we would observe apparent telepathic transmission of information if n% of the people were "tuned in".

I think its safe to say that after its all over, H11 will have the maximum likelihood with a high posterior probability , and no one wins the $1M.

 

[God_of_getting_layed]

Bonhomme, D!ck Ramsey, you fools got PWNED in this discussion!

Youre whole argument that science is basically dogma is a fvcking joke.

I mean, if its all just dogma, then theres no way we could have used dogma (science) to produce technologies such as nuclear technology, lasers, CD players, computers, plastics, BIOTECHNOLOGY etc. blah blah.

obviously its NOT DOGMA

DUUUUHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!

What is also a joke, is the idea that scientific concepts are phony such as Occam's razor. THERES A FVCKING REASON SCIENTISTS USE THE CONCEPT. ITS NOT BULL****. The simplest is always most likely, PERIOD! Super Geek even said he can prove it mathematically. But why would we even need to take it that far? The idea itself just makes perfect sense, no math needed. Occams razor is a correct concept DUUUHHHHHHH

can you get all this through your thick skulls bonhomme and D!ck Ramsey?

Maybe you guys should use your magical powers to become smarter, becuase you guys are clearly not the sharpest knives in the drawer! :crackup:

 

[God_of_getting_layed]

Bump